Short-term water demand prediction in residential complexes: Case study in Columbia city, USA

  • Salah L. Zubaidi
  • , Patryk Kot
  • , Rafid M. Alkhaddar
  • , Mawada Abdellatif
  • , Hussein Al-Bugharbee

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contributionpeer-review

26 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

Shortage of freshwater resources and increasing water demand are significant challenges facing water utilities. Accordingly, reliable and accurate short-Term prediction is a valuable tool to efficiently operate and manage an existing municipal water supply system. The present study aims to develop an accurate and easy to apply methodology to predict the water demand based on past water consumption data. The proposed methodology uses singular spectrum analysis (SSA) and a linear autoregressive (AR) model to forecast accurately the required water quantities in forthcoming years. The SSA is used to clean the signal of structure-less noise. Then the AR is used to describe the behaviour of the past water consumption data and then to forecast the daily expected water demand in a short-Term period. The suggested methodology is validated using daily water consumption data from July 2007-December 2016 in Columbia City, USA, as inputs for the short-Term model. The initial results show that the suggested methodology, SSA-AR, has the ability to predict water demand accurately and outperform an AR model.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publication2018 11th International Conference on Developments in eSystems Engineering (DeSE)
PublisherInstitute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.
Pages31-35
Number of pages5
ISBN (Electronic)9781538667125
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 24 Feb 2019
Externally publishedYes
Event11th International Conference on Developments in eSystems Engineering, DeSE 2018 - Cambridge, United Kingdom
Duration: 2 Sept 20185 Sept 2018

Publication series

NameProceedings - International Conference on Developments in eSystems Engineering, DeSE
Volume2018-September
ISSN (Print)2161-1343

Conference

Conference11th International Conference on Developments in eSystems Engineering, DeSE 2018
Country/TerritoryUnited Kingdom
CityCambridge
Period2/09/185/09/18

Keywords

  • Columbia City
  • Singular spectrum analysis
  • Water prediction

Fingerprint

Dive into the research topics of 'Short-term water demand prediction in residential complexes: Case study in Columbia city, USA'. Together they form a unique fingerprint.

Cite this