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Health disparities across the counties of Kenya and implications for policy makers, 1990-2016: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016.

  • Tom Achoki
  • , Molly K. Miller-Petrie
  • , Scott D. Glenn
  • , Nikhila Kalra
  • , Abaleng Lesego
  • , Gladwell K. Gathecha
  • , Uzma Alam
  • , Helen W. Kiarie
  • , Isabella Wanjiku Maina
  • , Ifedayo M.O. Adetifa
  • , Hellen Barsosio
  • , Tizta Tilahun Degfie
  • , Peter Njenga Keiyoro
  • , Daniel N. Kiirithio
  • , Yohannes Kinfu
  • , Damaris K. Kinyoki
  • , James M. Kisia
  • , Varsha Sarah Krish
  • , Abraham K. Lagat
  • , Meghan D. Mooney
  • Wilkister Nyaora Moturi, Charles Richard James Newton, Josephine W. Ngunjiri, Molly R. Nixon, David O. Soti, Steven Van De Vijver, Gerald Yonga, Simon I. Hay, Christopher J.L. Murray, Mohsen Naghavi
  • Massachusetts Institute of Technology
  • Utrecht University
  • University of Washington
  • University of Research Company
  • Ministry of Health, Kenya
  • International Center for Humanitarian Affairs
  • Policy Solutions
  • Jomo Kenyatta University of Agriculture and Technology
  • London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine
  • Epidemiology and Demography Department
  • Malaria Branch
  • Population Dynamics and Reproductive Health Unit
  • University of Nairobi
  • Synotech Consultants
  • University of Canberra
  • Royal Children's Hospital
  • Humanitarian Leadership Academy
  • Kenya Medical Research Institute
  • Egerton University
  • University of Oxford
  • University of Embu
  • Centers for Disease Control and Prevention
  • African Population and Health Research Center

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

65 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

Background
The Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2016 provided comprehensive estimates of health loss globally. Decision makers in Kenya can use GBD subnational data to target health interventions and address county-level variation in the burden of disease.
Methods
We used GBD 2016 estimates of life expectancy at birth, healthy life expectancy, all-cause and cause-specific mortality, years of life lost, years lived with disability, disability-adjusted life-years, and risk factors to analyse health by age and sex at the national and county levels in Kenya from 1990 to 2016.
Findings
The national all-cause mortality rate decreased from 850·3 (95% uncertainty interval [UI] 829·8–871·1) deaths per 100 000 in 1990 to 579·0 (562·1–596·0) deaths per 100 000 in 2016. Under-5 mortality declined from 95·4 (95% UI 90·1–101·3) deaths per 1000 livebirths in 1990 to 43·4 (36·9–51·2) deaths per 1000 livebirths in 2016, and maternal mortality fell from 315·7 (242·9–399·4) deaths per 100 000 in 1990 to 257·6 (195·1–335·3) deaths per 100 000 in 2016, with steeper declines after 2006 and heterogeneously across counties. Life expectancy at birth increased by 5·4 (95% UI 3·7–7·2) years, with higher gains in females than males in all but ten counties. Unsafe water, sanitation, and handwashing, unsafe sex, and malnutrition were the leading national risk factors in 2016.
Interpretation
Health outcomes have improved in Kenya since 2006. The burden of communicable diseases decreased but continues to predominate the total disease burden in 2016, whereas the non-communicable disease burden increased. Health gains varied strikingly across counties, indicating targeted approaches for health policy are necessary.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)e81-e95
JournalThe Lancet Global Health
Volume7
Issue number1
Early online date25 Oct 2018
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 1 Jan 2019

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

  1. SDG 3 - Good Health and Well-being
    SDG 3 Good Health and Well-being

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