A comparison of different scores for diagnosis and mortality prediction of adults with sepsis in Low-and-Middle -I ncome Countries: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Bayode R. Adegbite, Jean R. Edoa, Wilfrid F. Ndzebe Ndoumba, Lia B. Dimessa Mbadinga, Ghyslain Mombo-Ngoma, Shevin Jacob, Jamie Rylance, Thomas Hänscheid, Ayola A. Adegnika, Martin P. Grobusch

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

32 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

Background

Clinical scores for sepsis have been primarily developed for, and applied in High-Income Countries. This systematic review and meta-analysis examined the performance of the quick Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (qSOFA), Systemic Inflammatory Response Syndrome (SIRS), Modified Early Warning Score (MEWS), and Universal Vital Assessment (UVA) scores for diagnosis and prediction of mortality in patients with suspected infection in Low-and-Middle-Income Countries.

Methods

PubMed, Science Direct, Web of Science, and the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials databases were searched until May 18, 2021. Studies reporting the performance of at least one of the above-mentioned scores for predicting mortality in patients of 15 years of age and older with suspected infection or sepsis were eligible. The Quality Assessment of Diagnostic Accuracy Studies tool was used for risk-of-bias assessment. PRISMA guidelines were followed (PROSPERO registration: CRD42020153906). The bivariate random-effects regression model was used to pool the individual sensitivities, specificities and areas-under-the-curve (AUC).

Findings

Twenty-four articles (of 5669 identified) with 27,237 patients were eligible for inclusion. qSOFA pooled sensitivity was 0·70 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0·60–0·78), specificity 0·73 (95% CI 0·67–0·79), and AUC 0·77 (95% CI 0·72–0·82). SIRS pooled sensitivity, specificity and AUC were 0·88 (95% CI 0·79 -0·93), 0·34 (95% CI 0·25–0·44), and 0·69 (95% CI 0·50–0·83), respectively. MEWS pooled sensitivity, specificity and AUC were 0·70 (95% CI 0·57 -0·81), 0·61 (95% CI 0·42–0·77), and 0·72 (95% CI 0·64–0·77), respectively. UVA pooled sensitivity, specificity and AUC were 0·49 (95% CI 0·33 -0·65), 0·91(95% CI 0·84–0·96), and 0·76 (95% CI 0·44–0·93), respectively. Significant heterogeneity was observed in the pooled analysis.

Interpretation

Individual score performances ranged from poor to acceptable. Future studies should combine selected or modified elements of different scores.

Funding

Partially funded by the UK National Institute for Health Research (NIHR) (17/63/42).

Original languageEnglish
Article number101184
JournaleClinicalMedicine
Volume42
Early online date30 Oct 2021
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 1 Dec 2021

Keywords

  • low-and-middle-income countries (LMICs)
  • MEWS
  • qSOFA
  • sepsis
  • severity scores
  • SIRS
  • UVA

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